October 28, 2021/ Paris, France

Afghanistan: Future Scenarios

On October 28, 2021, International Center for the Study of Eurasia is organizing a conference-seminar Afghanistan: Future Scenarios.

The conference starts at 4:00pm Paris time

The seminar will focus on possible scenarios of the Afghan conflict evolution for one to three years, in the context of international politics. Recent American departure from Afghanistan opened a new page in the turbulent Afghan history. The consequences of the US withdrawal from Afghanistan and the Taliban victory are not yet fully understood. Whether it was is a monumental failure of US foreign policy in the region or a well-devised plan remains to be seen. As of today, Afghanistan is a failed state politically controlled by a terrorist organization. Afghan economy remains dependent on foreign assistance and on opiate trade while Afghan neighbors are concerned about the terrorist threat emanating from Afghanistan. Will Afghanistan remain a lawless land, de facto split between different armed group or will it become a theocracy? Will the low-intensity civil war continue or the Taliban will establish full control of the country? What will be the role of India, Pakistan, China, Tajikistan, Turkey, Russia and Iran in Afghanistan in the foreseeable future?

The working language is English.

Zoom codes will be provided one week prior to the seminar. For more information, please contact info@icse.io

May 18th, 2021/ Paris, France

The Future of Iran's Nuclear Program: Technology, Diplomacy and Geopolitic

On May 18, 2021, the International Center for the Study of Eurasia conducted a seminar The Future of Iran's Nuclear Program: Technology, Diplomacy and Geopolitics.

The conference will start at 4:00 PM Paris time.

The Biden administration’s openness to talk with Iran about reviving the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) marks an important foreign policy shift. The main motive of the United States seems to be to avoid open hostilities with Iran while confronting Russia and China. Iran, for its part, is under great pressure to return to negotiations due to the difficult economic situation it has been placed in and the impossibility of improving it under the current sanctions’ regime. Both the US administration and Tehran could benefit from the new opportunities that would arise from a new Iranian nuclear deal. The original JCPOA was considered by many a significant diplomatic achievement for regional and international security. What are the chances of striking a new balance of interests and commitments between the US, Iran, Israel, Russia and other players? This seminar will deal with the prospects of successfully renegotiating the JCPOA and tackle diplomatic, strategic, technical and other aspects of the coming negotiations.

The list of speakers and transcriptions of their presentations:

Lord David Hannay - Member of the House of Lords, former UK Ambassador and Permanent Representative to the United Nations, member of the Top-Level Group for Nuclear Disarmament and Non-Proliferation and a member of the Lords International Relations Committee.

Reviving the JCPOA : What is at Stake for International Peace and Security?

text & video

Dr. John Ghazvinian - Executive Director, Middle East Center, University of Pennsylvania

The Iranian Nuclear Issue: A View from History

text & video

Barbara Slavin - Director, Future of Iran Initiative, The Atlantic Council

Iran Nuclear Program : Seeking Nuclear Knowledge, not Nuclear Weapons

text & video

Dr. Ali Vaez - Director of Iran Project and Senior Adviser to the President, International Crisis Group

JCPOA 2.0: Back to the Future

text & video

Dr. Kayhan Barzegar - Senior Academic Advisor, Institute for Political and International Studies (IPIS), Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Iran

JCPOA and Regional Stability

text & video

Eric M. Brewer - Deputy Director and Senior Fellow, Project on Nuclear Issues, Center for Strategic and International Studies

JCPOA 2.0? Opportunities and Challenges

text & video

Dr. Andrey A. Baklitskiy - Senior Research Fellow at the Center for Advanced American Studies at the Institute of International Studies, MGIMO University

Making the Iranian Nuclear Deal Sustainable

text & video

Dr. Lana Ravandi-Fadai - Senior Researcher at the Institute of Oriental Studies, Russian Academy of Science/ Professor, Russian State University for the Humanities (RGGU)

Iranian Foreign Policy at a Crossroads

text & video

Dr. Ardavan Amir-Aslani - expert in international law and geopolitics of the Middle East, legal counsel to the government of Bahrain, professor, University François Rabelais in Tours

The Containment of China, the Primary Reason for the US Rush to Strike a Nuclear Deal with Iran

April 9th, 2021/ Paris, France

US Foreign Policy in South and South-East Asia after the End of Cold War

On April 9, 2021, the International Center for the Study of Eurasia is organizing a seminar US Foreign Policy in South and South-East Asia after the End of Cold War.

The conference will start at 2:30 PM Paris time.

Following the end of Cold War, the United States had to reconsider its foreign policy objectives in South East Asia. Growing regional influence of China, proliferation of nuclear arms, regional conflicts, terrorism led to a new rather complex system of relations in which the United States must reinvent its role as a leading power in the region. Despite its initiatives like the Indo-Pacific Business Forum, Indo-Pacific Energy Initiative (EDGE Asia), the Mekong-US Partnership et al, as well as occasional muscle flexing, US foreign policy in the region lacks clarity and a long-term perspective.

The conference will dwell on current issues pertinent to the US presence in the region, US response to the political instability in Burma and Thailand, the Spratly Islands crisis, the rise of China and how the United States will seek to respond to this emerging power.


List of Speakers

Ambassador Dominique Dreyer, ambassador of Switzerland to China, India, Nepal, Bhutan, Mongolia and the People's Democratic Republic of Korea; professor at American Graduate School, Paris

Presentation: America and China in South Asia

Dr. Dmitry Mosyakov, Director of the Center for the Study of South East Asia, Australia and Oceania, Russian Academy of Sciences

Presentation: The Main Stages of American Expansion in the Countries of Southeast Asia

General Daniel Schaeffer, Member of the French think tank Asie 21

Presentation: The US Presence in the South China Sea and in the Taiwan Strait, its Reasons and its Evolution

Dr. P.K. Ghosh, former Co-Chair, CSCAP International Study Group on Maritime Security

Presentation: The Dynamics of Powerplay: Battleground South China Seas

Dr. Douglas Yates, Professor, American Graduate School in Paris

Presentation: A Return to the Insular Strategy

Dr. Richard A. Bitzinger, Senior Fellow, Military Transformations Program, S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies

Presenation: U.S. Defense Diplomacy Toward Southeast Asia in the Biden Presidency

Dr. Carlyle A. Thayer, Emeritus Professor, The University of New South Wales (UNSW), the Australian Defense Force Academy (ADFA) in Canberra, Director of Thayer Consultancy

Presentation: Playing Catchup: The Biden Administration and the Indo-Pacific

Dr. Ulises Granados Quiroz, Associate Professor, Coordinator Asia Pacific Studies Program (PEAP), Academic Department of International Studies, Instituto Tecnologico Autonomo de Mexico ITAM

US naval presence in the SCS: directions of the Biden administration

Dr. Vladimir Kolotov, Chair, Department of Oriental Studies, Saint-Petersburg University

Presentation: The Geopolitical Dimension of Religious Situation in South East Asia and the US Policy in the Region

Dr. Lana Ravandi-Fadai, Senior Researcher, Institute of Oriental Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences/RGGU

Presentation: America and Iran: Does Iran have a Strategy in South-East Asia?»

Ms. Farhat Asif, President of the Institute of Peace and Diplomatic Studies – IPDS

Presentation: Pakistan balancing between China and the US: Options and Opportunities

Dr. Anton Koslov, Associate Professor, American Graduate School in Paris/ ICSE

Presentation: US and Thailand : an Uncertain Alliance