October 28, 2021/ Paris, France



Afghanistan: Future Scenarios





On October 28, 2021, International Center for the Study of Eurasia is organizing a conference-seminar Afghanistan: Future Scenarios.


The conference starts at 4:00pm Paris time


The seminar will focus on possible scenarios of the Afghan conflict evolution for one to three years, in the context of international politics. Recent American departure from Afghanistan opened a new page in the turbulent Afghan history. The consequences of the US withdrawal from Afghanistan and the Taliban victory are not yet fully understood. Whether it was is a monumental failure of US foreign policy in the region or a well-devised plan remains to be seen. As of today, Afghanistan is a failed state politically controlled by a terrorist organization. Afghan economy remains dependent on foreign assistance and on opiate trade while Afghan neighbors are concerned about the terrorist threat emanating from Afghanistan. Will Afghanistan remain a lawless land, de facto split between different armed group or will it become a theocracy? Will the low-intensity civil war continue or the Taliban will establish full control of the country? What will be the role of India, Pakistan, China, Tajikistan, Turkey, Russia and Iran in Afghanistan in the foreseeable future?​


Speakers


Ambassador James Dobbins – The Rand Corporation, USA; former United States Ambassador to the European Union (1991/93), Assistant Secretary of State for European Affairs (2001), and Special Representative for Afghanistan and Pakistan (2013 /14)

Engage, Isolate, or Oppose: American Policy Toward the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan


Rasa Juknevičienė – Member of the European Parliament, Vice-Chair, Subcommittee on Security and Defense; Lithuanian Minister of Defense (2008/12); President of the NATO Parliamentary Assembly (2018); member of the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR)

The Future of European Security After the Withdrawal from Afghanistan


Dr. Bruce Hoffman – Council on Foreign Relations, USA; professor at Georgetown University's Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service. Director of the Center for Security Studies (2010/17); the George H. Gilmore Senior Fellow at the U.S. Military's Combating Terrorism Center

Why the American Withdrawal from Afghanistan Makes Us All Less Safe


Dr. Adam Baczko – Professor, Political Science University (ScincePo Paris), researcher with the National Center for Scientific Research (CNRS)

Afghanistan Under the Rule of the Taliban


Dr. Barnett R. Rubin – Senior Fellow, head of the Afghanistan-Pakistan Regional Program (2000/20) at the Center on International Cooperation (CIC), New York University; Director of the Center for Preventive Action, and Director, Peace and Conflict Studies, at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York (1994–2000); Associate Professor of Political Science and Director of the Center for the Study of Central Asia at Columbia University (1990/96)

Does Afghanistan Have a Future?


Krzysztof Strachota – Head of the Turkey, Caucasus and Central Asia Department, Centre for Eastern Studies (OSW), Warsaw

The Future of Afghanistan - Challenges for Central Asia


Dr. Anton Koslov – Director, ICSE; Associate Professor, American Graduate School, Paris

Afghanistan Through the Security Prism of Tajikistan, Russia, Turkey




May 18th, 2021/ Paris, France



The Future of Iran's Nuclear Program: Technology, Diplomacy and Geopolitic








On May 18, 2021, the International Center for the Study of Eurasia conducted a seminar The Future of Iran's Nuclear Program: Technology, Diplomacy and Geopolitics.


The conference will start at 4:00 PM Paris time.


The Biden administration’s openness to talk with Iran about reviving the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) marks an important foreign policy shift. The main motive of the United States seems to be to avoid open hostilities with Iran while confronting Russia and China. Iran, for its part, is under great pressure to return to negotiations due to the difficult economic situation it has been placed in and the impossibility of improving it under the current sanctions’ regime. Both the US administration and Tehran could benefit from the new opportunities that would arise from a new Iranian nuclear deal. The original JCPOA was considered by many a significant diplomatic achievement for regional and international security. What are the chances of striking a new balance of interests and commitments between the US, Iran, Israel, Russia and other players? This seminar will deal with the prospects of successfully renegotiating the JCPOA and tackle diplomatic, strategic, technical and other aspects of the coming negotiations.


The list of speakers and transcriptions of their presentations:


Lord David Hannay - Member of the House of Lords, former UK Ambassador and Permanent Representative to the United Nations, member of the Top-Level Group for Nuclear Disarmament and Non-Proliferation and a member of the Lords International Relations Committee.

Reviving the JCPOA : What is at Stake for International Peace and Security?

text & video


Dr. John Ghazvinian - Executive Director, Middle East Center, University of Pennsylvania

The Iranian Nuclear Issue: A View from History

text & video


Barbara Slavin - Director, Future of Iran Initiative

Iran Nuclear Program : Seeking Nuclear Knowledge, not Nuclear Weapons

text & video


Dr. Ali Vaez - Director of Iran Project and Senior Adviser to the President, International Crisis Group

JCPOA 2.0: Back to the Future

text & video


Dr. Kayhan Barzegar - Senior Academic Advisor, Institute for Political and International Studies (IPIS), Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Iran

JCPOA and Regional Stability

text & video


Eric M. Brewer - Deputy Director and Senior Fellow, Project on Nuclear Issues, Center for Strategic and International Studies

JCPOA 2.0? Opportunities and Challenges

text & video


Dr. Andrey A. Baklitskiy - Senior Research Fellow at the Center for Advanced American Studies at the Institute of International Studies, MGIMO University

Making the Iranian Nuclear Deal Sustainable

text & video


Dr. Lana Ravandi-Fadai - Senior Researcher at the Institute of Oriental Studies, Russian Academy of Science/ Professor, Russian State University for the Humanities (RGGU)

Iranian Foreign Policy at a Crossroads

text & video


Dr. Ardavan Amir-Aslani - expert in international law and geopolitics of the Middle East, legal counsel to the government of Bahrain, professor, University François Rabelais in Tours

The Containment of China, the Primary Reason for the US Rush to Strike a Nuclear Deal with Iran



April 9th, 2021/ Paris, France



US Foreign Policy in South and South-East Asia after the End of Cold War





On April 9, 2021, the International Center for the Study of Eurasia is organizing a seminar US Foreign Policy in South and South-East Asia after the End of Cold War.


The conference will start at 2:30 PM Paris time.


Following the end of Cold War, the United States had to reconsider its foreign policy objectives in South East Asia. Growing regional influence of China, proliferation of nuclear arms, regional conflicts, terrorism led to a new rather complex system of relations in which the United States must reinvent its role as a leading power in the region. Despite its initiatives like the Indo-Pacific Business Forum, Indo-Pacific Energy Initiative (EDGE Asia), the Mekong-US Partnership et al, as well as occasional muscle flexing, US foreign policy in the region lacks clarity and a long-term perspective.


The conference will dwell on current issues pertinent to the US presence in the region, US response to the political instability in Burma and Thailand, the Spratly Islands crisis, the rise of China and how the United States will seek to respond to this emerging power.


Speakers


Ambassador Dominique Dreyer – ambassador of Switzerland to China, India, Nepal, Bhutan, Mongolia and the People's Democratic Republic of Korea; professor at American Graduate School, Paris

Presentation: America and China in South Asia


General Daniel Schaeffer - Member of the French think tank Asie 21


Presentation: The US Presence in the South China Sea and in the Taiwan Strait, its Reasons and its Evolution


Dr. P.K. Ghosh - former Co-Chair, CSCAP International Study Group on Maritime Security

Presentation: The Dynamics of Powerplay: Battleground South China Seas


Dr. Dmitry Mosyakov - Director of the Center for the Study of South East Asia, Australia and Oceania, Russian Academy of Sciences Presentation: The Main Stages of American Expansion in the Countries of Southeast Asia


Dr. Douglas Yates - Professor, American Graduate School in Paris

Presentation: A Return to the Insular Strategy


Dr. Richard A. Bitzinger - Senior Fellow, Military Transformations Program, S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies

Presenation: U.S. Defense Diplomacy Toward Southeast Asia in the Biden Presidency


Dr. Carlyle A. Thayer - Professor Emeritus, The University of New South Wales (UNSW), the Australian Defense Force Academy (ADFA) in Canberra, Director of Thayer Consultancy

Presentation: Playing Catchup: The Biden Administration and the Indo-Pacific


Dr. Ulises Granados Quiroz, - Associate Professor, Coordinator Asia Pacific Studies Program (PEAP), Academic Department of International Studies, Instituto Tecnologico Autonomo de Mexico (ITAM)

US naval presence in the SCS: directions of the Biden administration


Dr. Vladimir Kolotov - Chair, Department of Oriental Studies, Saint-Petersburg University

Presentation: The Geopolitical Dimension of Religious Situation in South East Asia and the US Policy in the Region


Dr. Lana Ravandi-Fadai - Senior Researcher, Institute of Oriental Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences/RGGU

Presentation: America and Iran: Does Iran have a Strategy in South-East Asia?»


Ms. Farhat Asif - President of the Institute of Peace and Diplomatic Studies – IPDS

Presentation: Pakistan balancing between China and the US: Options and Opportunities


Dr. Anton Koslov - Director, International Center for the Study of Eurasia (ICSE); Associate Professor, American Graduate School in Paris

Presentation: US and Thailand : an Uncertain Alliance